Wednesday, October 17, 2012
Jim Rogers: Recession Coming in 2013, 2014
Jim Rogers continues to reiterate his economic outlook going forward, which isn't a pretty one in his estimation, and he's surely right.
In an interview with Breakout, Rogers said about every 4 to 6 years America has gone through contraction and slowdowns since the beginning of the nation, and that isn't likely to change in light of the lack of results from endless simulating from central banks around the world, including the Federal Reserve in the U.S.
"Every four to six years since the beginning of the Republic we have had slowdowns in America," Rogers noted. "It's always happened and it's going to happen again."
Rogers said he sees 2013 and 2014 being difficult years, and recommends investors to plan accordingly.
In the third quarter in the United States, the growth rate was significantly downwardly revised from 1.7 percent to 1.3 percent, signaling things are already slowing down, with little to show that it will change any time soon.
Rogers said, "2013, 2014 you should be very worried and you should prepare yourself."
The global economy also looks weaker than anticipated as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) also downwardly revised its global economic growth numbers from 3.6 percent to 3.3 percent.
Some areas Rogers sees as important to invest in are gold and silver, as well as his main focus now: farmland. He recently invested in farmland in Australia, and continues to look for other farm assets to own.
Along with agriculture, which Rogers sees as being one of the top performers for years ahead because of the need to boost food production; saying that there is no more land being grown while the global population continues to rise.
Because of the turmoil in the markets, Rogers is long some currencies, including the U.S. dollar, which he has called a "flawed" currency in the past.
There he's investing in the U.S. dollar not because he sees it as being strong, but because he knows with the coming turmoil that investors will flock to it because of perceived safety. So he's investing in the U.S. dollar in relationship to the inevitable migration of capital there, which will push the value of it up in the short term in his estimation.