Showing posts with label Warren Buffett Investing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Warren Buffett Investing. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 28, 2013

Warren Buffett on Opportunities in Europe

Most of us know Warren Buffett has the uncanny ability to see value where others don't, and over the last year, he recently said in an interview with CNBC, that he has been buying equities in Europe.
Before we get into that, another element that is extremely important in the success of Warren Buffett is the way he successfully recognizes the low range of a good entry point. I'm not talking about market timing here, but his understanding of the season of time companies are at bargain rates. In his view, Europe has been in that season of time, and many stocks there remain cheap.
 

Friday, June 11, 2010

Warren Buffett on the Next Financial Crisis

While testifying before the FCIC last week on unrelated matters, Warren Buffett of Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK-A) fame was asked about where he sees the next financial crisis in the United States coming from, and while it wasn't surprising to me because I've known the risks for some time, it could be enlightening for those who aren't aware of it at this time.

Buffett's response? Municipal bonds.

The problem is the same reasoning behind the current economic crisis and debt load, is the same reason for the upcoming bursting of the muni-bond bubble, and that is the complete and irresponsible spending by politicians who refuse to say no.

Worse than that, it's the usual entitlement spending which the government is locked into which is unsustainable, but again, the politicians refuse overall to stop these types of programs, cut taxes, and encourage the private sector to take care of things.

According to George Soros, he said a couple of months ago, that the best way to invest in relationship to this situation is to go "short on bonds by buying a CDS contract carries." He added it would almost guarantee "unlimited profit potential."

Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Warren Buffett's Huge Dividend Income

Warren Buffett Dividends

Warren Buffett is not only one of the greatest investors of all time, but, and most people don't know or recognize this: he is one of the great marketers as well.

When I say he's one of the great marketers, I'm talking about personal branding and the image he portrays.

Buffett knows the envy rampant in the world concerning wealthy people, and wisely he cultivates a persona of humility and commonality that the regular person relates to, and forgives of Buffett what they won't forgive of most other people, and that is that he's rich.

Beyond that, and probably more important than that, is the way Buffett portrays himself as a free market capitalist, when in fact he's not close to that, but rather is a strong proponent of big government and socialist programs, which have emerged in his public responses to the actions of the U.S. government under Obama.

Now even hear it's hard to tell if Buffett really believes the things he says, as the canny investor thoroughly understands what he's up against with potential government interference, and is an expert at saying the right things at the right time for the benefit of himself and Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK-A).

For example, read through his quarterly reports on the Internet and see how many times he supports heavy taxation, or other times he's encouraged the death tax to be rescinded for those who are far less wealthy than himself, and which would devastate family wealth.

These are done from personal beliefs, but also from expediency in regard to shoring up the socialist idea that the wealthy should share the wealth with everyone through forced distribution, rather than pass it on to their family, or whoever or whatever they want to.

Anyway, the point is Warren Buffett while marketing himself as a low-income CEO making only $100,000 a year, doesn't bother revealing he makes millions a quarter on dividends he receives from personal investments.

At the end of 2008, Buffett had made $15.5 million for that quarter, the highest level, which of course went down in the midst of the economic crisis and some of his holding cutting their dividend rates.

Even so, think of how much that is for Buffett, who has cultivated the persona of being a thrifty guy in relationship to his money.

while he is that outwardly, he definitely makes far more money that most people know, and many of his outward expressions are part of the role he plays to protect Berkshire Hathaway.

Do I begrudge Buffett this? Not at all. I'm just saying he's far more canny than given credit for, and the things he says and moves he makes is far beyond simple investing, but takes into account the many forces in the world envious and ready to take the wealth from the deserving and transfer it to the underserving.

Buffett has battled this over the year, but unfortunately, in my opinion, has harmed capitalism and free markets from catering to the political crowd in a way that is beneficial for him, but not necessarily for his competitors and other business owners.

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Jim Rogers' Investing Preparation

Jim Rogers Investment Preparation

Investor Jim Rogers said in response to a recent question on the Greek sovereign-debt debacle, what he is looking for to be sure things don't get out of control over there. His answer was telling as to the reasons behind his investment success.

Rogers said that he tries to watch as much of the world as he is possibly able to in order to make the most informed decisions.

This reminds me of how Warren Buffett studies the books and reports of companies he is looking at. One time someone mentioned he reads them like pulp ficton. And he does.

Many times when investors like Jim Rogers and Warren Buffett seem to be moving by instinct or some inner sense, the reality is they've honed their senses by their endless homework, and so when they make their share of right investment choices, it seems they have some type of gift or inner sight, when they are just the hardest workers out there in their respective fields, and the results prove they are.

Jim Rogers Investment Preparation

Monday, January 25, 2010

Buffett, Inflation and Posco (NYSE:PKX)

Asian Steel Maker Posco (NYSE:PKX)

Knowing historically how Warren Buffett has resisted investing much in the commodity sector, it's telling that he has invested a significant amount in Posco (NYSE:PKX), the most profitable steel maker in Asia.

Posco has been an extremely successful company over the last decade, enjoying an average profit of 19.7 percent during that period of time.

The stake Buffett owns in Posco via his Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK-A) isn't a small one, as he acquired 3.95 million shares as of last February 28 for $768 million, and they've now increased in value in that short time to $2 billion.

With Buffett also buying into energy companies recently, you do have to ask the question of what it is he is doing, and all indicators seem to say he's protecting against inflation, which he knows is coming, and is already here really.

Of course Buffett won't mind the inevitable rise in prices these large commodity companies will enjoy, as his stakes in ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) and Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) show.

In reality, the Burlington Northern (NYSE:BNI) acquisition by Buffett could easily be considered a commodity move, at least in part, as much of the freight moved by the railroad is definitely raw materials and livestock.

Concerning the ongoing relationship between Posco and Warren Buffett, Buffett somewhat contradicted the assertion by Posco executives he is looking to continue investing in the company. That caused shares in Posco to decline after Buffett rumors persisted until he addressed them recently.

Buffett maintains he would buy more shares if the price goes down, and he has no plans to sell any shares.

Asian Steel Maker Posco (NYSE:PKX)

Monday, February 2, 2009

Commodities: Peter Schiff Dismantles Detractor

There's been a lot of buzz around the internet recently concerning a defective attempt by a small money manager and small man to discredit Peter Schiff because of some things he alleges Schiff missed for his clients, effectively costing them a lot of money. There were even implications from the financial midget that Schiff was a fraud. It's hard to believe this little person is actually allowed to manage people's money. I won't mention his name so he doesn't get any more attention.

What this small time clown did was accuse Schiff of missing a number of assertions he made, making it look like he was so far off he was either a fraud or incompetent.

Of course the usual few disgruntled investors that lost money over the short term are doing their whining and complaining that they should have kept their money in some type of safer investment. But if anybody has done even their basic homework, or did due diligence on Schiff, they knew he's in things for the long term, and those investing with him should take that into consideration when employing his services.

Look for example at Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-A). In the middle of September 2008, the stock surged to over $147,000 a share, and as I write was only a little over $89,000 a share. That's a huge loss of $58,000 a share in a very short time. Does that mean that Warren Buffett has no idea what he's talking about, or that his long-term philosophy of investing is faulty? No one with half a financial brain would say that.

The same is now happening with Peter Schiff, because he has in the past correctly identified the problems of undergirding the U.S. economy and its horrible government interference which undermines its strength. That infuriates those that hold to the goverment as a religion, and certain dectractors then dishonestly and desceptively put together fairy tales and half truths to make people like Schiff look like they're incompetent and frauds.

Here's how Schiff obliterates the midget:


"The crux of the blogger's arguments are that my beliefs in "decoupling, hyperinflation, and that the dollar is going to zero" have been completely discredited by the events of 2008, and that the resulting investment losses suffered by my clients last year confirms the fatal flaws in my approach.

"In addition to mischaracterizing many of my beliefs, he also is confusing short-term market fluctuations with long-term economic trends.

"First of all, the hyper inflation issue is a straw man at best. While I often talk about the possibility of hyper inflation, I have always said that it would be a worse-case scenario that would play out over many years. The fact that it did not appear in the first year of the economic crash (2008) does not invalidate my position. I have always maintained that this worst-case scenario will likely be avoided by what will ultimately be a dramatic shift in policy once our leaders come to their senses. However, until then the dollar will likely lose a substantial portion of its value.

"Second, I never said that the dollar would go to zero, either in 2008 or any year thereafter. I have said that in the event of hyper inflation the dollar's value would approach zero. My actual forecast in my book "Crash Proof" was that the Dollar Index would fall to 40 (currently about 85), with a realistic worst case scenario, assuming very high but not hyper inflation, of 20 or lower.

"Third, the blogger points out that because the decoupling theory (foreign economies improving while the U.S. falters) that I wrote about in 'Crash Proof' has yet to occur, that the theory itself was ridiculous. In my book I wrote that this process would not occur overnight, that initially our creditors would come to our aid, and in so doing our problems would become manifest abroad. I wrote that it would take time for the world to realize that what had been decoupled from the economic train was not the engine but the caboose. In fact, that is precisely the way it is playing out."

In the end, most of this is dealing with the long term investing horizon that the real successful investors employ. The other stuff is a smokescreen, as Schiff has shown.

I read the hit piece floundering financial advertisement by the financial midget, and found that that's all it was - an advertisement using Peter Schiff as the subject to draw attention to himself. In that sense he was successful. Maybe he should go into marketing rather than financial advising, as his short-term horizon will be a disaster for those following his pathetic "advice."

What he said was Schiff should have done better even though his assertions were correct. In other words, he was trying to say Schiff (and evidently himself) should have been a better market timer; something Schiff has repeatedly said he isn't.

This is the similar mentality of those wanting to bailout every poorly run sector in the U.S., saying they're too big to fail.

People that attack long term investors and outlooks, are those that falsely believe there should be no such thing as a bad year, and those advising clients need to make that happen.

But Warren Buffett has proven over his long investing career that holding to a long-term investing outlook far outperforms those that go in and out of a market, giving the illusion their clients are doing well because they may occasionally outperform their long-term counterparts over the short term.

Remember those laughing at Warren Buffett during the dot com era? Do you hear them laughing now? Buffett was again exonerated for his long-term outlook and understanding of what he was doing.

As Schiff says, this financial midget is only trying to make a name for himself by focusing on the little short-term gains some of his clients may have made in contrast to Peter Schiffs' clients.

In the end, Schiff will be the one laughing, and those people made out to be the ignorant people they are.

Friday, October 17, 2008

Warren Buffett: Now is one of Best Times to Buy into U.S. Stock Market


One of the many things Warren Buffett is known for saying, is to "be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." In our lifetimes, this is one of the most significant times where that saying has more meaning than ever.

We do have to keep one thing in mind right now before going ahead, and that is the U.S. government is now using Warren Buffett as a mouthpiece to calm the markets down and hopefully bring investors back to equities in order to get some money flowing. So everything he says in these areas has to be taken with that as a backdrop.

Even so, what Buffett is saying about this being a great time to invest in American publicly-held companies is true.

This difficult market has one great value for investors: it exposes the weak as well as the solid companies, so what to look for when considering investing in U.S. companies at this time is really simple - don't invest in companies that are highly-leveraged, and look for those with strong competitive advantage. These companies will perform strongly in the next 10 to 20 years.

The current discount on some of the better companies in America make this one of the most ideal times to expand our ownership in companies.

As Buffett has always said, over the short run, there's no way anybody can know how a company will do, but keeping in mind the competitive advantage and companies without too much debt, we will do good over the long haul.