Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Monsanto (NYSE:MON) Helped by Lower Corn Yield Projections?

With almost everything going against it, Monsanto (NYSE:MON) may get some help from the recent corn yield estimates which were about 25 percent lower than projected, which should inevitably drive corn prices up even more.

One of the major and successful strategies of DuPont (NYSE:DD) has been to put in the minds of farmers whether or not the added traits of Monsanto's SmartStax corn is worth the extra price.

When early returns from the field revealed yields were lower for SmartStax corn, that added fuel to the fire, and Monsanto is left wondering, along with their shareholders, where future growth was going to come from.

Now that the overall corn yield in the U.S. is far lower than expected, and corn prices sure to increase, that leaves higher margins for farmers to work with, which may persuade them to give Monsanto another try.

Of course DuPont will probably respond to that challenge and lower their prices to gain even more market share.

Even so, if yields are enough to generate interest from more northerly fields, which haven't revealed results yet, Monsanto just may get an unexpected boost from higher corn prices.

That could also include higher soybean prices as well, where soybean yields are over 20 percent lower than estimates too.

No comments: